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Description:
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The US economy is one of the richest and most diversified economies in the world and
keeps its leadership in the global economy for the past 100 years. The United States is a
global leader in computer technology, pharmaceuticals and the manufacture of medical,
aerospace and military equipment. And although services make up about 80% of GDP, the
US remains the second largest producer of industrial goods in the world and is a leader in
research and development.
President Donald Trump was elected in November 2016, promising a big gap with his
predecessor’s regulatory, tax and trade policies. Therefore, the current socio-economic status
of the USA and the possible ways of its development in the future are interesting for studying
the impact on other economies, in particular, on the Ukrainian economy and the search for
new and optimal ways of developing relations between the United States and Ukraine.
Key macroeconomic indicators of the US economy in 2011–2018 are analyzed,
demonstrating the influence of Donald Tramp’s new policy on changes in the indicators of the
economy, the labor market, trade, etc., as well as possible ways of development in the coming
years. The review of key macroeconomic indicators gives grounds for classifying the American
economy as healthy one. Rates of GDP growth will remain in the range of 2 to 3%. These
rates of growth in the world’s largest economy are callable to ensure a substantial increase
in the global activity. But uncertainties in the politics may hinder global growth and have
clearly negative impact on the investment growth in developed and developing economies.
Досліджено розвиток великої відкритої економіки на прикладі економіки США. Проаналізовано динаміку ключових макроекономічних показників США починаючи з 2011 року: темпи зростання ВВП, рівень безробіття, рівень інфляції. За допомогою статистичної моделі ARIMA виконано прогноз інфляції в США на 2018–2020 рр. Проведений аналіз ключових макроекономічних показників США дає підстави для
визначення американської економіки як здорової. |